No, I used the same model that I used for the coin toss, but obviously with the corresponding probabilities. I added the probability of a tie to the probability of winning.
You can also check those numbers on the website suggested by Don:
https://sites.google.com/view/krapstuff/home
I think you also know that my results were simulated, although they coincide quite accurately with the results obtained from online calculators.
There is no combinatorial analysis involved.
Sincerely,
Cac
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