Quote Originally Posted by Cacarulo View Post
No, I used the same model that I used for the coin toss, but obviously with the corresponding probabilities. I added the probability of a tie to the probability of winning.
You can also check those numbers on the website suggested by Don:

https://sites.google.com/view/krapstuff/home

I think you also know that my results were simulated, although they coincide quite accurately with the results obtained from online calculators.
There is no combinatorial analysis involved.

Sincerely,
Cac
I researched this calculator. It calculates the probability of a n or more-event happening at least once in N trials.