Mentality switch

[Archvaldor]

Appreciate your response Don. So much information around and I'm trying to decipher it all.

A guy named James Grosjean wrote a while back that all this talk of variances is a bunch of BS and it's just an excuse made up by counters who are too lazy to improve their play.

That is untrue. Variance impacts the computer-perfect counter much as it does everyone else. There is no way for a counter to improve their game so that losing streaks do not happen.

I think what Grosjean meant was "do hole-carding like me and you won't ever have a long losing streak". Unfortunately most of us aren't that short and won't see that many hole-card or similar opportunities.

I also read an older BJ21 post from a well known counter that he once encountered a 50,000 hand losing streak. This particular gentleman doesn't count hours as to him, it's the number of hands and he describes it as variance. That also blew my mind.

That's essentially a losing year for a career professional. Most full-time counters will have had one.