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Thread: Flat Betting v. Card Counting v. Progression Betting

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  1. #1
    Random number herder Norm's Avatar
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    "I don't think outside the box; I think of what I can do with the box." - Henri Matisse

  2. #2


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    I don't want to try to prove that progressive betting is a winning strategy. I want to randomly pick a number of dealt BJ hand, say 200, and see which strategy is better for short term variance. Of course, I suspect that if you did this a billion times, the flat betting and progressive betting will yield similar results (taking into account larger bets for progressive betting) and card counting will yield positive results. Anyway, if anyone can provide a large list of dealt hands, that would be great.

  3. #3


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    Quote Originally Posted by BJ_WIN View Post
    I don't want to try to prove that progressive betting is a winning strategy. I want to randomly pick a number of dealt BJ hand, say 200, and see which strategy is better for short term variance. Of course, I suspect that if you did this a billion times, the flat betting and progressive betting will yield similar results (taking into account larger bets for progressive betting) and card counting will yield positive results. Anyway, if anyone can provide a large list of dealt hands, that would be great.
    What you are saying is not true. In your first post you already trying to prove that progressive betting is a winning strategy. If you going to just see which strategy is better for short term variance than you already found it. That my friend is flat betting playing prefect basic strategy.

  4. #4


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    With respect to your first comment regarding my first post, please re-read my first post. With respect to your better strategy comment, flat betting playing perfect basic strategy should be same as progressive betting playing perfect basic strategy (taking into consideration that progressive betting will have a higher average bet amount).

  5. #5


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    Quote Originally Posted by BJ_WIN View Post
    With respect to your first comment regarding my first post, please re-read my first post. With respect to your better strategy comment, flat betting playing perfect basic strategy should be same as progressive betting playing perfect basic strategy (taking into consideration that progressive betting will have a higher average bet amount).
    Progressive betting playing perfect basic strategy is NOT the same as flat betting playing perfect strategy. As the simulation have shown. You just don't want to confront the true. You will lose more with a higher average bet amount when expose to the house edge. It is best to NOT bet at all when the casino has an advantage.

    https://www.qfit.com/blackjack-progression-systems.htm

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