The Blackjack Professor? Guaranteed win at BJ without doubling, counting, etc?

[MJGolf]

I was looking for Andy Bloch's Expert Insight DVD, which has been posted on You Tube somewhere in it's entirety when I came across this video by the Gambling Professor/Al Kaufman. Essentially his system is a Martingale + one unit bet until you reach a certain level bet, then Martingale (if I watched it correctly). His promise is that if you follow his system, you will always win (unless you lose 8 bets in a row). With a $5 unit and a $2480 bankroll, he shows how you can win approx $500 day; each day and every day; 'thousands' a year. Has a chart proving his system and how to play/bet.

I'm no math genius as you guys know, but thought that some of you would have FUN with this one!!! What ARE the odds of losing 8 hands in a row in BJ? I'm going to enjoy responses to this one, I'm sure!!! LOL

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VjX0EYR3rfc

Comments on You Tube "interesting", too.

[21forme]

Norm - Is there a way to exclude the Disadvantage Forum posts from coming up when clicking New Posts?

[Norm]

New Posts-ex

[Three]

Here is how the TC affects win/loss/tie:
http://www.blackjackincolor.com/truecount5.htm

Using an average loss of 47% and win of 43% and negating pushes you lose about 52% of the hands.
.52^8 = 0.5346%
If you multiply by the loss of $2480 you get -$13.26
If you assume you will win $10 every time you win which you won't if I understand your explanation (I didn't waste my time watching his stupid video) and multiply by .994654 you win $9.95 for a loss of $3.31. Basically multiply the HE, which is very large if you don't double or split, by the average bet to figure how much you expect to lose per hand played.

[21forme]

New Posts-ex

Thanks

[Gronbog]

New Posts-ex

There may be a bug. I used New Posts-ex and this thread was listed.

[Norm]

Should work now

[MJGolf]

Here is how the TC affects win/loss/tie:
http://www.blackjackincolor.com/truecount5.htm

Using an average loss of 47% and win of 43% and negating pushes you lose about 52% of the hands.
.52^8 = 0.5346%
If you multiply by the loss of $2480 you get -$13.26
If you assume you will win $10 every time you win which you won't if I understand your explanation (I didn't waste my time watching his stupid video) and multiply by .994654 you win $9.95 for a loss of $3.31. Basically multiply the HE, which is very large if you don't double or split, by the average bet to figure how much you expect to lose per hand played.

Thanks Tthree.........I was just figuring you multiplied the .52 loss rate x 8 times x the bankroll to get your Neg EV I am reading Don's BJAIII but I wish I had a basic statistics course or gambling math course I could go through. I used to think I was fairly decent at math, but applying it to gambling seems to be very difficult for me. I mean, I made it through to Calculus with great grades...........jeez this stuff doesn't come easy or natural to my brain.

[Three]

I made it through to Calculus with great grades..

The limit theory intro to Calculus I is very useful when thinking about applying the statistics you use in gambling. You can no doubt get by without understanding it. You might want to take a statistics class. I was a math wizard at the University but statistics was the hardest class I took for me. I was the top of the class but the proper statistical logic wasn't easy to grasp every time. All the toughest advanced math classes were easy A's for me. The logic of solving everything in those classes was crystal clear to me. The stat test were really hard. Open book, open note but the professor didn't believe in wasting any of the grading scale. 0-20 was an F, 21-40 was a D, 41-60 was a C, 61-80 was a B and 81-100 was an A. You can imagine how hard the tests were when the score that got you a C would get an F in any other class.

[AnzaExo]

That video was kind of creepy

[MJGolf]

That video was kind of creepy

His basic strategy is EVEN creepier............LOL BESIDES the no splitting; no doubling and the risk of $2380 in bankroll to make maybe $35 allegedly guaranteed............I just thought it was truly funny!! And that people here would just shake their heads and roll their eyes. He advertises his number in Vegas and office for lessons, too. I'm sure people are LINED up to attend THOSE $500 classes.......... Not that old a YouTube video either. Professor my "a**"!

[metronome]

Yeah, but think about all the exercise you can get