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  • moo321's Avatar
    Today, 10:59 AM
    Discipline may be the most important talent that a successful AP has. There have been tons of people with incredible talent who had some level of deficiency in their discipline, and it ruined them....
    10 replies | 1074 view(s)
  • iCountNTrack's Avatar
    Today, 09:42 AM
    I am no real authority either, but luckily I can write basic code for a basic mathematical concept :) For a game of blackjack: A winning streak including pushes (p = 0.4222 + 0.0848 = 0.507) ,...
    84 replies | 6037 view(s)
  • DSchles's Avatar
    Today, 08:01 AM
    Yeah, seems like you're stuck with Cac and me. What do we know? Sorry you can't get any real authorities on the subject to respond. :peaceful: Don
    84 replies | 6037 view(s)
  • DSchles's Avatar
    Today, 07:47 AM
    I was just rereading the thread and came across your question, which I had failed to respond to previously. So, the 0.52 would correspond to the 0.48, and then 0.43 would become 0.48, if we exclude...
    84 replies | 6037 view(s)
  • aceside's Avatar
    Today, 07:13 AM
    I agree I’m rude. Apologies! I have been seeking some clarification on these things, but nobody really cared, so I guess you are my answer. On these online calculators, the following is how they...
    84 replies | 6037 view(s)
  • Cacarulo's Avatar
    Today, 07:05 AM
    Perhaps, before reaching definitive conclusions such as "This is incorrect", it's good to consider what is known as the benefit of the doubt. For example, you could write: "I'm not sure about that...
    84 replies | 6037 view(s)
  • Cacarulo's Avatar
    Today, 06:50 AM
    Perhaps they prefer not to get involved in an endless questioning. Didn't you think about it? Sincerely, Cac
    84 replies | 6037 view(s)
  • aceside's Avatar
    Today, 06:07 AM
    I believe James989 and Gronbog know this stuff very well, but they have been silent.
    84 replies | 6037 view(s)
  • Eternalotsi's Avatar
    Today, 05:03 AM
    Deciding whether to stick with AP play is like pondering whether to double down or fold, ya know? It's a real head-scratcher, but hey, that's the beauty of poker—it's all about calculated risks.
    45 replies | 8723 view(s)
  • Cacarulo's Avatar
    Yesterday, 05:37 PM
    Sorry, I got confused and thought we were in the coin flip experiment, not in the BJ case. With 0.52, it's obviously going to be higher than with 0.43. Therefore, the numbers above for 0.43 and 0.48...
    84 replies | 6037 view(s)
  • Sidecount's Avatar
    Yesterday, 03:23 PM
    100 units probably means Time to Go. But there are other ways to take it up to 2 spots. I played with a superstitious guy who was a non-counter. He believed in 2 or 4 spots at the table for the...
    3 replies | 1216 view(s)
  • DSchles's Avatar
    Yesterday, 01:22 PM
    I missed this. Sorry. 0.698%. It seems to me that for blackjack winning and losing streaks, if the streak is NOT interrupted by ties, we shouldn't be using 0.43 and 0.48 for the win and lose...
    84 replies | 6037 view(s)
  • toolyp's Avatar
    Yesterday, 11:21 AM
    “This thread should have closed a long time ago, but I'll ask Norm to do as much now.” QED. That’s how you argue. “I suppose I've been answering streak questions for about 40-45 years or so.”...
    84 replies | 6037 view(s)
  • toolyp's Avatar
    Yesterday, 11:19 AM
    “toolyp is just an annoying troll, an arrogant newcomer” QED. That’s what you call respect! No offence, just my honest opinion.
    84 replies | 6037 view(s)
  • toolyp's Avatar
    Yesterday, 11:18 AM
    “Your opinion doesn't mean shit in a casino.” QED. The min-max spread used to be 5-1000=1-200. The casinos made it 5-500=1-100. All gamblers screamed SHIT! Now its mostly 1-10. SHIT! SHIT! SHIT! Im...
    84 replies | 6037 view(s)
  • aceside's Avatar
    Yesterday, 07:56 AM
    I examined Cacarulo’s sim results above but found that Cac probably missed the point here. He lists the exact number of 20-Head streaks as 0.0796950% and that of 20 or more-Head streaks as...
    84 replies | 6037 view(s)
  • LauraBlack's Avatar
    Yesterday, 05:34 AM
    I'm at Oaklawn fairly frequently during racing season.
    5 replies | 1113 view(s)
  • G Man's Avatar
    05-04-2024, 02:36 PM
    I would say exactly this !
    10 replies | 1074 view(s)
  • G Man's Avatar
    05-04-2024, 02:34 PM
    My understanding of this thread would be: both of the above ! He treated you with total disrespect.
    84 replies | 6037 view(s)
  • DSchles's Avatar
    05-04-2024, 01:52 PM
    Thanks, Cac. Appreciate the double-check, but, of course, these things have been known (except to toolyp) since forever. I suppose I've been answering streak questions for about 40-45 years or so....
    84 replies | 6037 view(s)
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