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Thread: Is This Free Bet a Positive Value Play

  1. #14


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    Quote Originally Posted by Midwest Player View Post
    Well, I made a $25 bet on Caesars for the Packer game today. I took the Titans at +3 @100. The Packers suck so bad this year, I figured it was a pretty good bet. I didn't even watch the game. I took a nap for a few hours. So only have $75 more to bet to get my free bet.

    I not sure if the $10 free bet is positive ev. A $100 bet @ -110 will give about $91 profit. You will lose about half the time so on average you get $95 for you $100 bet a loss of $5. The $10 free bet will average a win of about $4.50 so a loss on the deal of about 50 cents. Did I figure this right?
    Yes, if you bet it that way, it’s -EV..that’s why I’m saying don’t bet it that way .

  2. #15


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    Well, I made "Diamond" at Caesars, but I just made 4 regular bets to make my $100. I won 2 and lost 2. I came out with a small loss on the bets. However since I made Diamond in Nov I'm hoping they will give me a $20 free bet in early Dec.

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