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Thread: True Count Distribution

  1. 01-07-2022, 03:42 AM #1
    Mr. Ed
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    True Count Distribution

    Sorry if this is a dumb question, but what is the distribution of true counts for an 8 deck shoe with 1.5 decks cutoff? (Play all hands)

    Is there a way to refine this distribution based on my walk away point - I am thinking TC -2

    Actually, the real point of my question is to determine my walk away point, but I would definitely like to start with the “play all” expected value.
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  2. 01-07-2022, 05:18 AM #2
    bejammin075
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    You can do calculations as shown in Peter Griffin’s Theory of Blackjack, 6th edition, or do a CVCX sim and look at the output.


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  3. 01-07-2022, 07:06 AM #3
    aceside
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    It seems you mentioned Peter Griffin book a lot. I did read one chapter of this book to understand PE, play efficiency, but still I am in dark about the basics.. Moreover, many blackjack gurus have posted here a couple of months ago saying Peter’s theory is already too outdated for today’s blackjack games. I trust this forum.
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  4. 01-07-2022, 07:08 AM #4
    Norm
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    The book concentrated on different games than those common these days. But, there is nothing outdated about the theories.
    "I don't think outside the box; I think of what I can do with the box." - Henri Matisse
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  5. 01-07-2022, 07:43 AM #5
    bejammin075
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    Quote Originally Posted by aceside View Post
    It seems you mentioned Peter Griffin book a lot. I did read one chapter of this book to understand PE, play efficiency, but still I am in dark about the basics.. Moreover, many blackjack gurus have posted here a couple of months ago saying Peter’s theory is already too outdated for today’s blackjack games. I trust this forum.
    People keep asking, how do I do this or that calculation. Many times, it is already explained in ToBJ. It’s a tough read, and I had to re-read some chapters several times, annotating along the way, and doing practice calculations.


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  6. 01-07-2022, 01:13 PM #6
    DSchles
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mr. Ed View Post
    Sorry if this is a dumb question, but what is the distribution of true counts for an 8 deck shoe with 1.5 decks cutoff? (Play all hands)

    Is there a way to refine this distribution based on my walk away point - I am thinking TC -2

    Actually, the real point of my question is to determine my walk away point, but I would definitely like to start with the “play all” expected value.

    All answers can be found in BJA3 or by using CVCX.
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  7. 01-08-2022, 02:35 PM #7
    Mr. Ed
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    Thanks, Don. After my ex-wife emptied my home before she left me, my copy of BJA mysteriously disappeared!

    I just ordered a new one and it should arrive soon. Looking forward to re-reading a most excellent book.
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