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Thread: Break Even Spread

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    Break Even Spread

    I don't play often enough to justify buying software, so I was wondering if someone could run a quick simulation to answer a question for me. What spread and ramp would be needed to break even using Hi-Lo in the following game (play all): 6D, 75% penetration, H17, DAS, RSA, LS? Thanks in advance!

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    Quote Originally Posted by vegaskid View Post
    I don't play often enough to justify buying software, so I was wondering if someone could run a quick simulation to answer a question for me. What spread and ramp would be needed to break even using Hi-Lo in the following game (play all): 6D, 75% penetration, H17, DAS, RSA, LS? Thanks in advance!
    Why bother simming.
    1-12, off the top of my head. Better pen reduces spread required. Poorer spread requires greater spread.
    What stakes are you playing - can you afford not to have CVCX

  3. #3
    Senior Member bigplayer's Avatar
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    With those rules I'd guess that a 1-3 spread play-all would get you to breakeven. Toss in some well timed bathroom breaks and departures and get a slight edge.

    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

  4. #4


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    House edge off the top of my head is about .5 to .55. Call it .5 for ease.
    true <1 unit
    true 1 - 2 units
    true 2 -3 - 4 units
    true 3-4 - 6 units
    true 4-5 - 8 units
    5+ - 12 units

    adjust for bankroll and tolerance to risk. It’s helpful to do this at the table. For better results, FBM ASC.

  5. #5


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    Quote Originally Posted by bigplayer View Post
    With those rules I'd guess that a 1-3 spread play-all would get you to breakeven. Toss in some well timed bathroom breaks and departures and get a slight edge.

    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    Thanks. I was guessing somewhere around 1-4 would get me there.
    Last edited by vegaskid; 09-30-2021 at 07:54 AM.

  6. #6


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    Quote Originally Posted by Freightman View Post
    Why bother simming.
    1-12, off the top of my head. Better pen reduces spread required. Poorer spread requires greater spread.
    What stakes are you playing - can you afford not to have CVCX
    I mostly play red to light green. I can afford software, but it never seemed worth it for the one or two trips I make to Vegas per year these days to play a few hours of BJ with friends. Break even with a few comp meals thrown in for good measure is good enough.

  7. #7


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    Quote Originally Posted by Freightman View Post
    Why bother simming.
    1-12, off the top of my head. Better pen reduces spread required. Poorer spread requires greater spread.
    What stakes are you playing - can you afford not to have CVCX
    I believe bigplayer is correct on this, but I haven’t seen any games with RSA-resplitting Aces.

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    Quote Originally Posted by aceside View Post
    I believe bigplayer is correct on this, but I haven’t seen any games with RSA-resplitting Aces.
    Yeah, 1-12 seems pretty aggressive just to break even. I would guess 1-12 would result in a decent edge, somewhere between 0.50% and 0.75%.

  9. #9
    Senior Member bigplayer's Avatar
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    All depends on your personal utility. If you play for comps and free vacations and want little to no risk of being kicked out a tight spread approach for comps is not a bad play. It all about what you're playing to achieve.

    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

  10. #10


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    Quote Originally Posted by vegaskid View Post
    I don't play often enough to justify buying software, so I was wondering if someone could run a quick simulation to answer a question for me. What spread and ramp would be needed to break even using Hi-Lo in the following game (play all): 6D, 75% penetration, H17, DAS, RSA, LS? Thanks in advance!
    A simple question requires a simple answer.
    From CVCX, using Ill-18 a spread of 1-3 is required to break even in this game.
    0 or less bet 1
    +1 or more bet 3

    Don't want the jump spread?

    Play 2 at +1 and 3 at +2 or more.
    G Man

  11. #11


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    Quote Originally Posted by G Man View Post
    A simple question requires a simple answer.
    From CVCX, using Ill-18 a spread of 1-3 is required to break even in this game.
    0 or less bet 1
    +1 or more bet 3

    Don't want the jump spread?

    Play 2 at +1 and 3 at +2 or more.
    Thanks, much appreciated! @bigplayer, you nailed it.

  12. #12


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    Quote Originally Posted by vegaskid View Post
    Thanks, much appreciated! @bigplayer, you nailed it.
    BP is very rarely wrong!
    G Man

  13. #13


    0 out of 2 members found this post helpful. Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    Hi Norm, I noticed a problem with this forum. Somebody consistently stepped on “unhelpful” to whatever posts I made. This does not help the discussion here. Could you please investigate into this matter to see who is doing this?

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