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Thread: Opinions of BJA members only forum and videos

  1. #27


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    Quote Originally Posted by Eliot View Post
    A person makes a higher income by betting their maximum bet in every count where they have the edge. Using a ramp decreases their win-rate. The point of a ramp is risk management. But if you are going for sheer profit as an upper limit on what's attainable, nothing beats max bet every time you have the edge.
    No offense, but you can't be serious, can you? I thought it would be common knowledge that the Kelly Criterion is the EV maximizing strategy.

  2. #28


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    Quote Originally Posted by PitBoss321 View Post
    No offense, but you can't be serious, can you? I thought it would be common knowledge that the Kelly Criterion is the EV maximizing strategy.
    Kelly Criterion is optimal, which is different from maximum. Since it’s so logical in its approach, it allows one to sim on the fly.

    Where do you do your pitbossing?

  3. #29


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    Quote Originally Posted by PitBoss321 View Post
    No offense, but you can't be serious, can you? I thought it would be common knowledge that the Kelly Criterion is the EV maximizing strategy.
    Further, there’s an excellent argument that Risk Averse indices, used properly, will provide better results than EV maximizing indexes, or reduce negative variance at users discretion.

  4. #30
    Random number herder Norm's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by PitBoss321 View Post
    No offense, but you can't be serious, can you? I thought it would be common knowledge that the Kelly Criterion is the EV maximizing strategy.
    Kelly Criterion is the win rate maximizing strategy, not EV maximizing. OTOH, this is not necessarily relevant with a very large bankroll.
    "I don't think outside the box; I think of what I can do with the box." - Henri Matisse

  5. #31


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    Quote Originally Posted by PitBoss321 View Post
    No offense, but you can't be serious, can you? I thought it would be common knowledge that the Kelly Criterion is the EV maximizing strategy.
    What casino do you work for ? We can make a good deal. The casino don’t care about you.
    But I like to help people with an envelope. No one is cheating. Just don’t make any calls to sureveillance. I’m not doing anything illegal but you deserve a tip. Nothing wrong with a tip.

    Just a joke people. I would never pay employees at a casino for anything.

  6. #32


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    Hi. Is anyone kind enough to enlighten me what BJA is?

    Thanks

  7. #33


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    Quote Originally Posted by Ping View Post
    Hi. Is anyone kind enough to enlighten me what BJA is?

    Thanks
    https://www.blackjackapprenticeship.com

  8. #34


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    Quote Originally Posted by Freightman View Post
    or reduce negative variance at users discretion.
    You can't reduce variance on just one side! If you keep bet sizes the same as when you used e.v.-maximizing indices, thereby forgoing larger profits, r-a indices reduce TOTAL variance -- not just negative variance.

    Don

  9. #35


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    Quote Originally Posted by DSchles View Post
    You can't reduce variance on just one side! If you keep bet sizes the same as when you used e.v.-maximizing indices, thereby forgoing larger profits, r-a indices reduce TOTAL variance -- not just negative variance.

    Don
    Interesting semantic point taken. Regardless, for the masses, the point is reduced variance

  10. #36
    Random number herder Norm's Avatar
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    1 out of 1 members found this post helpful. Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    Actually, an important point. (Doesn't work like a diode. But, if you could obtain negative variance, standard deviation would be imaginary.)
    "I don't think outside the box; I think of what I can do with the box." - Henri Matisse

  11. #37


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    Quote Originally Posted by Norm View Post
    Actually, an important point. (Doesn't work like a diode. But, if you could obtain negative variance, standard deviation would be imaginary.)
    That's a funny observation. New term: i(s.d.)

    Don

  12. #38


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    Quote Originally Posted by DSchles View Post
    That's a funny observation. New term: i(s.d.)

    Don
    If he's talking diodes, it would be j(s.d.) as i is used for current.

  13. #39
    Senior Member Gramazeka's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by DSchles View Post
    You can't reduce variance on just one side! If you keep bet sizes the same as when you used e.v.-maximizing indices, thereby forgoing larger profits, r-a indices reduce TOTAL variance -- not just negative variance.

    Don
    Read the old posts by Cacarullo. In his research, he found nothing outstanding in the use of RA indexes.
    "Don't Cast Your Pearls Before Swine" (Jesus)

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