I have run a hole card simulation (rather than card counting simulation) using CVCX and the QFit Hole Carding strategy.
Surprisingly, the results show a negative EV of about minus 8 percent (regardless of double deck or six decks), whereas I expected about 5 to 10 percent positive expectation (provided that every dealer's hole card is perfectly readable):
HoleCardingQFitStrategy01AttachStrategy.jpg
HoleCardingQFitStrategy02SimSetupPageOne.jpg
HoleCardingQFitStrategy03SimSetupPageTwo.jpg
HoleCardingQFitStrategy04SimResultsNegativeExpectation.jpg
What went wrong here? (I know that the main purpose of CVCX is card counting simulation, and that flat-betting normally has a negative EV when using conventional Basic Strategy, but not minus 8 percent).
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