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Thread: Probability of Occurence

  1. #1


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    Probability of Occurence

    Good morning everyone,

    can somebody please tell me where I can find the probabilities of all situations of player hand vs dealer hand (16vs10, 9vs2, etc)?
    And does somebody know the probability of Uston APC True Counts throughout a 2, 4, 6 deck game?

    I do not have Casino Verite etc


    Would it be correct for my first two cards to be 10,10 and the dealer's upcard to be a 2 in double deck to assume:

    P(T,2,T) = 32/104 * 8/103 * 31/102 = 0,73%

    ?

    However, is there a list of how often those situations occur since thats only for the first hand

    I just want to know the situations that occur most often (top 50)
    Last edited by simoneggi; 03-25-2020 at 06:54 AM.

  2. #2


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    "can somebody please tell me where I can find the probabilities of all situations of player hand vs dealer hand (16vs10, 9vs2, etc)?
    And does somebody know the probability of Uston APC True Counts throughout a 2, 4, 6 deck game?"


    BJA3, Appendix A, or: https://wizardofodds.com/games/black...dix/9/6ds17r4/

    "Would it be correct for my first two cards to be 10,10 and the dealer's upcard to be a 2 in double deck to assume:

    P(T,2,T) = 32/104 * 8/103 * 31/102 = 0,73%"


    Yes.

    "However, is there a list of how often those situations occur since that"s only for the first hand"

    That comment doesn't make much sense. You deal a million hands, you get T,T vs. 2 0.73% of the time, or 7,300 hands. What does "first hand" have to do with it?

    Don

  3. #3


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    Thank you very much for the answer and the material.

    I was just confused but the answer you gave with the 0,73% was what I was looking for ^^

    Is the part with "HAND FREQUENCIES BASED ON 100,000 PLAYABLE HANDS" regardless of deck number?
    Last edited by simoneggi; 03-25-2020 at 12:57 PM.

  4. #4


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    Quote Originally Posted by simoneggi View Post
    Thank you very much for the answer and the material.

    I was just confused but the answer you gave with the 0,73% was what I was looking for ^^

    Is the part with "HAND FREQUENCIES BASED ON 100,000 PLAYABLE HANDS" regardless of deck number?

    He has similar charts for all numbers of decks. I gave you two decks, but you can search for whatever you need.

    Don

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