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Thread: Marginal Games

  1. #53


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    Quote Originally Posted by EyeBRollin View Post
    I hope so, I'm becoming jaded towards this game. Intellectually I trust the math but it seems like the last 8 months the dealer just always wins.
    EyeBRollin,

    Then follow that ”always wins" dealer to the baccarat table and bet the farm on Banker! ;-)

    Dog Hand

  2. #54


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    Quote Originally Posted by Dog Hand View Post
    EyeBRollin,

    Then follow that ”always wins" dealer to the baccarat table and bet the farm on Banker! ;-)

    Dog Hand
    I’m not sure what either of these comments is supposed to mean. I play like a robot, bet like I should, deviate when the count dictates. My observation was that the dealer in the last 8 months is that the dealer always seems to find a way to make outstanding hands when the odds are inverted to my favor.

    Example: yesterday at RC+34 (Pivot point is +32) had 2 max bets dealer shows 3. I sit with 2 7s and hard 20. I split, catch 2 aces for soft 18. Double down both catch a ten and an 8. Sitting with 16, 18, and 20. Dealer flips an 8, 4, then 6 to crack every hand.

    Such has happened too frequently. My win rate lifetime has dipped to 39%. I was under the impression counting was slightly above 50%.

  3. #55


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    Quote Originally Posted by EyeBRollin View Post
    I was under the impression counting was slightly above 50%.
    Not correct. Without consulting any references, I believe it's 42-43%. Counting doesn't change that to any significant degree.

  4. #56
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    Quote Originally Posted by EyeBRollin View Post
    I’m not sure what either of these comments is supposed to mean.
    Quote Originally Posted by Dog Hand View Post
    EyeBRollin,

    Then follow that ”always wins" dealer to the baccarat table and bet the farm on Banker! ;-)

    Dog Hand

    If the "always wins" dealer also dealt at the baccarat table and also always won there, then Dog Hand would have given you the ultimate AP. By betting Banker (dealer) always when the always wins dealer dealt baccarat...you would always win too, so you should make big Banker bets.

  5. #57


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    Quote Originally Posted by 21forme View Post
    Not correct. Without consulting any references, I believe it's 42-43%. Counting doesn't change that to any significant degree.
    Session wins, not per hand. I think it was 52% chance of being ahead with 1% advantage over one hour IIRC?

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