See the top rated post in this thread. Click here

Page 1 of 2 12 LastLast
Results 1 to 13 of 14

Thread: Summary of 2019 BJ play and Plan for 2020 BJ play

  1. #1


    1 out of 1 members found this post helpful. Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No

    Summary of 2019 BJ play and Plan for 2020 BJ play

    2019 summary:

    Hours played: ~150

    Total win/loss (USD): 1,540 (including +$35 dealer over paid in error)

    Time frame: 65 days

    Total betting money (USD): 12,940

    hourly rate ~$10

    betting spread $5-50 and $10-100

    2020 plan


    Hours play: ~300

    Expected Total win/loss (USD): 5,000 +-3,000

    Expected Time frame: 300 days

    Expected Total betting money (USD): 80,000

    Expected hourly rate ~$20

    betting spread: $10-200, or $10-400


    BJplayDaysGraph2019.jpgBJTotalBetGraph2019.jpg

  2. #2


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    How do you keep track of total money bet in a 150 hours in a live casino or is this just computer play? On your 2020 you have expected $80000 bet. So how can $12900 be accurate?

  3. #3


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    Quote Originally Posted by BJcountingmaster View Post
    2019 summary:

    Hours played: ~150

    Total win/loss (USD): 1,540 (including +$35 dealer over paid in error)

    Time frame: 65 days

    Total betting money (USD): 12,940

    hourly rate ~$10

    betting spread $5-50 and $10-100
    <snip>
    BJcountingmaster,

    1,540/12,940 = 0.119...

    Wow! You won at a rate of nearly 12%? I'm impressed, as well as a bit incredulous.

    I hope you continue at that rate in 2020.

    Dog Hand

  4. #4


    2 out of 2 members found this post helpful. Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    Quote Originally Posted by Dog Hand View Post
    BJcountingmaster,

    1,540/12,940 = 0.119...

    Wow! You won at a rate of nearly 12%? I'm impressed, as well as a bit incredulous.

    I hope you continue at that rate in 2020.

    Dog Hand

    Be less impressed! In both examples (past year and future year) the amount of money bet is off by a factor of 10!! In the first case, if you play 150 hours, at 100 hands per hour, you play 15,000 hands total. With the indicated bet spread, let's make average bet per hand about $10 (probably more). Total dollars bet is $150,000. The $12,940 is obviously completely wrong.

    Same thing for the 2020 forecast. 300 hours means 30,000 hands. Average bet is now about $20/hand. Total bet: $600,000. So, again, the $80,000 is clearly all wrong.

    Don

  5. #5


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    I kept track of each session I played. I never played whole shoe. Wong in wong out, only played several round in particular good shoe where TC >= 1.5 or 2

    Thats why I played average 5 rounds per hour instead of 100.

  6. #6


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    I'm not quite sure whether 12% is a sustainable winning rate . However wongin Wong out saved a lot of table rent @ 0 and neg TC . Also by doing TC = 2 bet $10 ... TC >=11 bet $100, I have reduced risk and increased profit. In three losing sessions when TC were high positive, I did pseudo martingale bet up to $200 to pull the loss back to slightly profitable

  7. #7


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    Your curse became real for this year, i won some initially however just experience a major streak of loss almost -$500 in a couple of casino visits.I counted and played perfect and nothing wrong with dealer or casino. It just bad luck. My martingale bet get busted at the end.




    Quote Originally Posted by DSchles View Post
    Be less impressed! In both examples (past year and future year) the amount of money bet is off by a factor of 10!! In the first case, if you play 150 hours, at 100 hands per hour, you play 15,000 hands total. With the indicated bet spread, let's make average bet per hand about $10 (probably more). Total dollars bet is $150,000. The $12,940 is obviously completely wrong.

    Same thing for the 2020 forecast. 300 hours means 30,000 hands. Average bet is now about $20/hand. Total bet: $600,000. So, again, the $80,000 is clearly all wrong.

    Don

  8. #8


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No

  9. #9


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    Conclusion: Casino's money is surely tough to be pocketed without much risks!

  10. #10


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    But considering that they gave me a lot of free buffets (each worth $30+), free bets and several free hotel stays. It balanced back, I think.

  11. #11


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    do you or anyone else have some kind of spreadsheet of blackjack all games results either win or loss.... would be helpful do create strategy based on the info..
    Someone mentioned they use software, perhaps its possible to get lot of million result from there and copy here ?

  12. #12


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    $10 at TC2 and $100 at TC+11 is silly. You should get to $100 at TC4, maybe TC5 for real success. You would build your BR faster, get to play more hands than just 5 an hour.

  13. #13


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    Quote Originally Posted by BJcountingmaster View Post
    Your curse became real for this year, i won some initially however just experience a major streak of loss almost -$500 in a couple of casino visits.I counted and played perfect and nothing wrong with dealer or casino. It just bad luck. My martingale bet get busted at the end.
    Martingale? I hope you use that as cover play to look like a ploppy because it’s a recipe for disaster. Might as well stick to a proper spread in order not to draw much attention.

Page 1 of 2 12 LastLast

Similar Threads

  1. Replies: 4
    Last Post: 12-21-2008, 04:34 PM

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  

About Blackjack: The Forum

BJTF is an advantage player site based on the principles of comity. That is, civil and considerate behavior for the mutual benefit of all involved. The goal of advantage play is the legal extraction of funds from gaming establishments by gaining a mathematic advantage and developing the skills required to use that advantage. To maximize our success, it is important to understand that we are all on the same side. Personal conflicts simply get in the way of our goals.