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Thread: CVCX Expectation Win/Loss

  1. #1


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    CVCX Expectation Win/Loss

    First of all, I have to say, that I'm pretty new to counting.

    I'm a bit confused about the win/lose expectation

    Example (Reko count, unbalanced):

    I made a simulation with the CVCX simulator (with extremely good rules)

    It shows me, that from the the count "-9" i have to raise my bets.... win/lose stat tells me: that with a count of "-9" my expectation is a "+0.34%

    now these stats above are the result of a deck penetration of 3.5/6 Decks! When I change it to 4.0/6 Decks ... with the same count (-9) my expectation is only "+0.16"!
    and with 4.5/6 Decks i don't even have an advante... "-0.07%" .. and the better the deck penetration the worse my expectation with a count of "-9"

    Why is that? I mean .. the game until 3.5 Decks is always the same.


    Thanks!

  2. #2
    Random number herder Norm's Avatar
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    Can you post screen shots?
    "I don't think outside the box; I think of what I can do with the box." - Henri Matisse

  3. #3


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    Here the printscreens
    Attached Files Attached Files

  4. #4
    Random number herder Norm's Avatar
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    Yep, that's the way unbalanced counts work since the count range shifts as penetration deepens.
    "I don't think outside the box; I think of what I can do with the box." - Henri Matisse

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