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So, let's clear up a few things here. And several of you may be surprised by the (correct) answer.
Zee wrote: "Does penetration affect the non card counting basic strategy player?"
Note that he didn't write, "Does penetration CHANGE the strategy that the BS player uses?," nor is there any indication that that's what he meant. My immediate understanding of the question was, "Does the edge to the BS player change as penetration varies?" And the answer to that question is, actually, ... yes.
Let's talk about the shoe game. And the whole discussion is about BS; there is no discussion whatsoever of card counting. Suppose I put the cut card so high in the shoe that it is four cards from the top (humor me!). Then, we are certain that only a single hand will be dealt, and the edge to the BS player is the classic off-the-top (dis) advantage. I'm sure we all agree.
Now, let's take case number two, where we deal down to, let's say, the 5-deck level. This introduces the well-known cut-card effect (CCE), and that actually adversely affects our basic strategist to the tune of a couple of hundredths of one percent. Now, it should be clear to most that, as we go from the ridiculous 4-card penetration, where there is no adverse effect at all on the BS player, all the way down to, say, the 5-deck level, where several hundredths are lost to the CCE, there must be an ever-so-slightly sliding scale (continuity) of worsening edge to the basic strategist. In fact, Norm has studied this effect, and it is so small as to not be worth discussing, but I just wanted to point out that, technically, while we PLAY all the hands exactly the same no matter what, the ultimate edge to the BS player is, in fact, slightly impacted by penetration.
Don
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