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Thread: Been losing for a month.

  1. #40


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    Quote Originally Posted by Norm View Post
    It's called "the fallacy of the maturity of chances". See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy. It's one one the main reasons that casinos make billions. It's been known to be false for centuries.

    Please stop linking to scam sites.
    No. I want you to cite EXACTLY what he said that is false. Dont speak in generalities or vagueness. That does nothing.

  2. #41
    Random number herder Norm's Avatar
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    The conclusion is absurd. The article states the proof precisely.
    "I don't think outside the box; I think of what I can do with the box." - Henri Matisse

  3. #42


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  4. #43
    Random number herder Norm's Avatar
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    Well, I'm glad you got that out.

    Thread will be closed soon. I'd like the OP to try to understand the logical flaw.
    "I don't think outside the box; I think of what I can do with the box." - Henri Matisse

  5. #44


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    Quote Originally Posted by BughouseMASTER View Post
    Now, tell me, exactly what part of what he said above is FALSE?
    All of it. You are actually only about 43% likely to win any given hand - ignoring pushes and slightly higher/lower percentages with different rule sets. EV is very close to zero due to bonus payouts, splitting and doubling. Think about it: if we actually won half the time, flat bettors would make a killing! They’d never lose more than their bet, but would win more when they are dealt naturals or either split or double.

    if the dealer wins, just 55% of the time, in ever series of two hands:
    dealer wins twice : 30.25%
    player wins twice: 20.25%
    Each wins once: 49.5% (in your system, if the player wins first, he loses money)

    if if you play perfect basic strategy, you will slowly lose money over time. Depending on the casino and thei comp program, you MIGHT, be able to get a little ahead. However, this would have nothing to do with the betting system and everything to do with basic strategy and generous comps. You would not be able to make a living wage.

  6. #45


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    Sure, close it if you want.

    Meanwhile, I will be laughing all the way to the bank regarding the amount that I am UP as a successful Walter Thomason progression bettor while you sad counters, working your ass off night and day, struggle to break-even after X mins/hours/days/weeks/months/years of playing! (sorry, WORKING!)

  7. #46


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    I’m gonna have to agree with Bughousemaster here. I’ve been advising people to use his system and I have made thousands off the idiots who play at my table!






    (I’m joking, I don’t work for casinos)

  8. #47


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    Quote Originally Posted by BughouseMASTER View Post
    Sure, close it if you want.

    Meanwhile, I will be laughing all the way to the bank regarding the amount that I am UP as a successful Walter Thomason progression bettor while you sad counters, working your ass off night and day, struggle to break-even after X mins/hours/days/weeks/months/years of playing! (sorry, WORKING!)
    Counting doesn’t work. I’m only up 500k.

  9. #48


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    Quote Originally Posted by Norm View Post
    Well, I'm glad you got that out.

    Thread will be closed soon. I'd like the OP to try to understand the logical flaw.
    He doesn’t care, nor will he attempt to understand the logical flaw.

  10. #49


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    Quote Originally Posted by Norm View Post
    Well, I'm glad you got that out.

    Thread will be closed soon. I'd like the OP to try to understand the logical flaw.
    I think you’re addressing me, in which case - thank you.

  11. #50


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    Quote Originally Posted by BughouseMASTER View Post
    Sure, close it if you want.

    Meanwhile, I will be laughing all the way to the bank regarding the amount that I am UP as a successful Walter Thomason progression bettor while you sad counters, working your ass off night and day, struggle to break-even after X mins/hours/days/weeks/months/years of playing! (sorry, WORKING!)
    A system with huge variance could outperform all the existing counting systems in a short period of time because counters need patience and a lifetime may be not enough for him. I am glad your system works for you. Just don't count it will work forever.

  12. #51


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    what is the system he is using. and what is he doing in the "short term" that he claims is successful??

    Quote Originally Posted by BughouseMASTER View Post
    LMEAO you people crack me up.... just because you kill yourselves working everytime you go to the casino for negligible results and even an entire month or longer of nothing but losing like the OP said in this thread, you'd rather crucify those like myself who are SUCCESSFUL in using progressions such as my WT progression rather than give them praise.

    Again, when will you morons realize that HUMANS will never play millions and millions of hands and thus will not see "long term" results? Bec when you do, maybe you will finally accept that what I am doing absolutely works for the SHORT TERM.

  13. #52


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    Bughouse has been promoting this guys system for years and years without any proof. his mirage effect he has on increasing his wager 5 units after every win has nothing but inconsistant results. i would rather like to know how he plays then how much he bets. and not how many in a row but how many wins and how many loses.

    thank you (for nothing)

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