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Thread: Jeopardy

  1. #14


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    Quote Originally Posted by BankerCA View Post
    If the shows taping is 2 months behind (filming 5 shows per day, one time per week), James would be over 50 wins if he is still a contestant.
    I read that the currently airing shows were taped in February and about 2 weeks ago they completed their taping for the season, last episode airing in July. Anybody in the studio audience knows what happened for the week of shows they were present for. They tape 5 shows/day on 2 days/week.

  2. #15


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    Quote Originally Posted by DSchles View Post
    I agree. First of all, he is averaging $75,000 per game for 15 wins. If 74.5 is the "correct" over/under, and he truly has a 50% of winning 75 games, he would have amassed well over $5 million by that point! So, the 3:2 line (he's the underdog) to beat Jennings seems incompatible with the total.

    I also agree with taking the under, but he could go way under and STILL beat Jennings's total winnings, because, at $75K a pop, it would take only 33 games to do that.

    Finally, I do think that his aggressive style will eventually be his undoing, but by that time, he will have won a mind-boggling amount. He'll lose when he wagers all on a DD and misses it and/or when he doesn't get all the DDs for himself, which is often the case. The show could "rig" things, to limit his winnings, by putting all the DDs at the bottom of the board, since they know that he always starts from the bottom up, for the very reason of trying to a
    mass more money before he hits one of the DDs. If they put them low on the boards, there's a greater likelihood that he'd have less money when he finds one.
    I doubt that you can truly bet on this, as the event is already over, and the results are known by many people. Who would be dumb enough to accept wagers on a past event?

    Don

    Hey Don did you ever hear of the offshore books taking bets on the Oscars?

  3. #16


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    Quote Originally Posted by Eye of the Eagle View Post
    Hey Don did you ever hear of the offshore books taking bets on the Oscars?
    Yes, I have. But I think there are very recreational limits applied to those. It would be insane for such a book to take large wagers, once again, on something that is already known, albeit by very few people.

    Don

  4. #17


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    There's a YouTube comment in one video stating he'll last another 62 days. Whether or not this is true remains to be seen.

  5. #18


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    Quote Originally Posted by DSchles View Post
    Yes, I have. But I think there are very recreational limits applied to those. It would be insane for such a book to take large wagers, once again, on something that is already known, albeit by very few people.

    Don
    Real small.....like $200.

  6. #19


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    z
    z

    He is over $2,000,000 now.
    z
    z

  7. #20


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    Quote Originally Posted by SkinnyBJplayer View Post
    z
    z

    He is over $2,000,000 now.
    z
    z
    Finished yesterday just short of $2M. Your daily shows must come on very early in the morning :-)

    It was the second time he had a chance of losing. The guy in third position was aware of his strategy and tried to counter it. The contestants later in the week have an opportunity to watch him play as they wait for their turn, as they tape 5 shows/day, twice/week.

  8. #21


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    Quote Originally Posted by 21forme View Post
    The guy in third position was aware of his strategy and tried to counter it
    He almost pulled it off too. At one point during Double Jeopardy, he was ahead of James by approximately 19k to 8k+change (sorry can't remember the exact numbers). Had James not hit the second daily double at that point, he would have been in deep trouble.

    I continue to be baffled as I watch the other contestants almost universally continue to bet small after they fall behind by thousands. These people are very intelligent. Regardless of whether they have had the opportunity to see him play, how can they not see that they are betting themselves out of contention?
    Last edited by Gronbog; 05-28-2019 at 02:02 PM.

  9. #22


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    There is a total disconnect between the intelligence of the players as to their general knowledge, and the intelligence of the players when it comes to wagering throughout the game and sometimes even in Final Jeopardy.

    It is incomprehensible that, given the opportunity to have made it to the show and to compete, they can be so dreadfully lacking in even the simplest notion of tournament play and money management.

    Those who remember Ken Jennings realize that he was also very conservative in the way he bet and almost always played simply to win and not to maximize his daily earnings. Witness the fact that Holzhauer has earned almost $2.2 million in 28 shows ($78.4K per) while Jennings won $2.5 million in 74 shows ($34.0K)! Helluva difference!

    Don
    Last edited by DSchles; 05-28-2019 at 02:05 PM.

  10. #23


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    James' average win is larger that the previous daily record win, mainly due to his willingness to bet close the theoretical safe maximum on Final Jeopardy. And at this point there is no reason not to. He now also holds the top 12 highest daily scores.

  11. #24


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    Quote Originally Posted by Gronbog View Post
    He almost pulled it off too. At one point during Double Jeopardy, he was ahead of James by approximately 19k to 8k+change (sorry can't remember the exact numbers). Had James not hit the second daily double at that point, he would have been in deep trouble.

    I continue to be baffled as I watch the other contestants almost universally continue to bet small after they fall behind by thousands. These people are very intelligent. Regardless of whether they have had the opportunity to see him play, how can they not see that they are betting themselves out of contention?
    most people are risk averse and too results oriented.
    people will bet sports with no edge at all, and then when they have an edge on a parlay or futures bet hedge to lock in the winnings, giving up ev in the process.
    they'll go to the casino and play bj at a disadvantage, but then insure blackjacks.

    I mean with my background I agree with you, but these aren't expert gamblers, they're book smart conservative nerds.

  12. #25


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    Quote Originally Posted by ShipTheCookies View Post
    There's a YouTube comment in one video stating he'll last another 62 days. Whether or not this is true remains to be seen.
    Apparently, that person's comment was not true. The party is over.

  13. #26


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    Quote Originally Posted by ShipTheCookies View Post
    Apparently, that person's comment was not true. The party is over.
    Not true. The party just started for his daughter. James told his daughter they’d have a party when he lost. So his daughter, who is 4, was rooting for him to lose. Now the real party can start! Lol

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