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Thread: very depressing variance, what are the odds?

  1. #40


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    Thanks Three for clarify those terms. I count card and rate myself at intermediate level but nowhere near AP level. I see some posters, in BJ forums, called himself as AP but posted some ideas at very elementary knowledge of the BJ games.

  2. #41
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    Quote Originally Posted by cc12b View Post
    I see some posters, in BJ forums, called himself as AP but posted some ideas at very elementary knowledge of the BJ games.
    He may focus on machines for AP play or a non-counting approach to getting an advantage. Or he might just be an internet BS artist.

  3. #42


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    Quote Originally Posted by cc12b View Post
    Thanks Three for clarify those terms. I count card and rate myself at intermediate level but nowhere near AP level. I see some posters, in BJ forums, called himself as AP but posted some ideas at very elementary knowledge of the BJ games.
    Card counters are only AP's when the count gives them an edge. If you start at the beginning of a shoe that has an inherent HE, you aren't an AP at that time. I put counters in the "semi-AP" category.

  4. #43


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    Quote Originally Posted by ShipTheCookies View Post
    Card counters are only AP's when the count gives them an edge. If you start at the beginning of a shoe that has an inherent HE, you aren't an AP at that time. I put counters in the "semi-AP" category.

    About as dumb as it gets.

    I can see it now - circling like a vulture around an empty table, waiting for some sucker to sit down, so you can hover waiting for a good count. Think about what waiting bets are for,

  5. #44


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    Quote Originally Posted by Meistro123 View Post
    A professional gambler is going to bet the same amount with a .5% edge regardless of the circumstances of how that edge is obtained. If your bankroll is the same, and your risk tolerance / demand for reward is the same, then it makes no sense to wager a different amount. The only factors are your bankroll, and what your risk tolerance / desire for reward is. Solving for say, a specific hourly, is amateurish.
    Bullshit.

    My bankroll may be of sufficient size to make the size of the bet irrelevant to risk of ruin. But the size of my bet is very relevant to the longevity I am trying to maintain at this store.

    Once again, the anal counters try to make all the decisions based on some set of numbers. The numbers are input to the process, not the process!
    Luck is nothing more than probability taken personally!

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