Me losing 13 hands in a row

[Freightman]

nope, there are 4 suits with 6 sevens each at the start so the first draw is for any of 24 cards. The second seven is any seven which is any of the 23 sevens left. The third seven dealt must be the same suit as the original seven so either 5 or less commonly 4 sevens (if the dealer has a seven of the same suit as your seven) are left of that suit.

To simplify the problem we can assume the dealer gets the third card rather than the second card. Then the numbers Cards available for each draw is 24 of 286, 5 of 285, 22 of 284. That is what DTB had in his post. Then there are either 4 sevens of your sevens' suit left to win the bonus, or less commonly, 3 sevens of the right suit when all three sevens already dealt are of the same suit.

To be a suited 777, the first 7 is one of 24. The second suited 7 must match the first suited 7, and there are only 5 left. See the difference.

[Three]

To be a suited 777, the first 7 is one of 24. The second suited 7 must match the first suited 7, and there are only 5 left. See the difference.

That is what I said.

To simplify the problem we can assume the dealer gets the third card rather than the second card. Then the numbers Cards available for each draw is 24 of 286, 5 of 285, 22 of 284.

Your mistake is the dealer 7 can be of any suit. You have 4/286 rather than 22/286.

Slight goof. 24/288*5/287*4/286= once every 49249 hands.

Then when it comes to completing the bonus draw.

Then there are either 4 sevens of your sevens' suit left to win the bonus, or less commonly, 3 sevens of the right suit when all three sevens already dealt are of the same suit.

[Gronbog]

It is based on the bet size, count and the number of decks. There is a threshold value for each TC where it is better to split than hit. You will have a larger bet out at the higher TC's so this information is helpful but in the long run it doesn't make a huge difference to your win rate.

I think you're saying that the extra TC information doesn't make a huge difference, and I would agree with that. I hope we can also agree that the the size of your bet is the single biggest factor in the EV of hitting the super bonus due to the fact that the payout is a fixed amount.

[davethebuilder]

Yes, we do agree on that as well.

[metronome]

didn't need to read whole thread. My wife and I have bought in for $200 each at same time/table, both wiped out in 1 six deck shoe.... me counting/her perfect BS (with nods/winks from moi...) It happens