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Thread: Chance/Frequency of TC Increase in 1 Round?

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    Chance/Frequency of TC Increase in 1 Round?

    For level I and II counts with 2-7 spots played for 6D off the top?
    Last edited by Bushie; 07-14-2018 at 10:21 PM.

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    It would take an RC of 5+ to get to TC1 and an RC of 10+ to get a TC2 after the first round. Assuming 2.7 cards per hand, if two are playing, with the dealers hand, 3 x 2.7 or about 8 cards played. If all 7 spots are played, 22 cards or so would have to be played. I suppose you could figure out the ratio required. I have rarely seen it go to TC2, even TC1.

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    Pretty vague question. The answer depends on number of spots played and how many decks remain to be played.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Three View Post
    Pretty vague question. The answer depends on number of spots played and how many decks remain to be played.
    How is it vague? I clearly said 2-7 spots off the top for 6D for both level I and level II counts.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Bushie View Post
    How is it vague? I clearly said 2-7 spots off the top for 6D for both level I and level II counts.
    It is so clear to everyone that you are flooded with answers. I think you are asking something pretty simple to answer but I am not really sure what you are asking. Once you make that clear I will leave it to those you didn't insult when help was offered to give that easy answer.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Bushie View Post
    For level I and II counts with 2-7 spots played for 6D off the top?
    Bushie,

    I ran a series of CVData sims using HiLo for a 6D H17 game. Each run consisted of 200-million shoes, with only two rounds played in each shoe.

    For 2 spots, the TC was at least +1 on Round 2 3,616,117 times, or about 1.8% of the time.
    For 3 spots, the TC was at least +1 on Round 2 6,367,063 times, or about 3.2% of the time.
    For 4 spots, the TC was at least +1 on Round 2 9,178,994 times, or about 4.6% of the time.
    For 5 spots, the TC was at least +1 on Round 2 11,892,275 times, or about 5.9% of the time.

    For 6 spots, the TC was at least +1 on Round 2 14,440,754 times, or about 7.2% of the time.
    For 7 spots, the TC was at least +1 on Round 2 16,806,376 times, or about 8.4% of the time.

    Hope this helps!

    Dog Hand


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    Quote Originally Posted by Dog Hand View Post
    Bushie,

    I ran a series of CVData sims using HiLo for a 6D H17 game. Each run consisted of 200-million shoes, with only two rounds played in each shoe.

    For 2 spots, the TC was at least +1 on Round 2 3,616,117 times, or about 1.8% of the time.
    For 3 spots, the TC was at least +1 on Round 2 6,367,063 times, or about 3.2% of the time.
    For 4 spots, the TC was at least +1 on Round 2 9,178,994 times, or about 4.6% of the time.
    For 5 spots, the TC was at least +1 on Round 2 11,892,275 times, or about 5.9% of the time.

    For 6 spots, the TC was at least +1 on Round 2 14,440,754 times, or about 7.2% of the time.
    For 7 spots, the TC was at least +1 on Round 2 16,806,376 times, or about 8.4% of the time.

    Hope this helps!

    Dog Hand

    Excellent. Much appreciated Dog Hand, thanks.

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