I’m working on my “camo bet” strategy, and want to determine the following: At TC=0, what is the probability that I will win the first 3 hands (all hands have TC=0). With my parameters set in CVCX, and zeroing out all custom bets except 1 unit for TC=0, the CVCX bottom line shows %W/L is -0.323%. IF I’m correct, this represents a win probability of 49.85% (and thus a loss probability of 50.15%) for the first hand dealt (again, with TC=0). Below is the method for this calc: -0.323% W/L (obtained from CVCX bottom line) is the $ profit per $ unit bet. At $1 unit bet, CVCX says it will result in - $0.00323 per hand profit (actually a loss, since negative). Put another way, the outcome of each wager is: I lose $0.00323, which means my walk-away from this one time, one-unit bet is: $1.0000 - $0.00323 = $0.997 (rounded off) per my unit bet, OR… $0.997 per $2.00 kitty (the kitty includes $1 my unit, and $1 the house’s matching value they make available to cover my bet). Therefore, the probability of me winning ONE HAND is: 0.997 / 2 = 0.4985. And the probability of me winning the first 3 hands in a row are: 0.4985 ^ 3 = 0.1239, or 12.39%. Can any of you gurus please dispute or confirm the accuracy of the above result / method? Is there perhaps a better method? Thank you in advance. -Nascent

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