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Thread: Now I am 100% sure that ASM don't deal truly random cards.

  1. #11


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    Quote Originally Posted by therefinery View Post
    I'd love to play for 7 hours somewhere. You ever think they let you play because you're simply not a winning player?
    Tolerance is a wonderful thing. I recall a quick 5 hour hit and run on a double deck game with big spread, possibly 6 hours with meal break.

  2. #12
    Senior Member BigJer's Avatar
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    BTW, if ASMs aren't, then someone should find out what the algorithm to such a machine! Chu-ching!!

    (I can't believe I just said chu-ching!)
    My Ability in Blackjack is a Gift from God!!

  3. #13


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    Your feels while playing the game don't mean anything. People find spurious patterns in randomness all the time. Write down some data and prove it with statistics.

    E.g., the probability of that a Ten is followed by another Ten should be 95/312 in a 6 deck shoe. If after 10 shoes the average is closer to 150/312, then something's up. Do a binomial probability test.

    Couple years ago I suspected a certain online casino was cheating me at blackjack by giving the dealer amazing hit cards. So I recorded every time the dealer busted, and every time the dealer hit with a potential of busting. I did that for like 500 hands at each bet level, before increasing my bet. The ratio came out correct. They weren't cheating that way.

  4. #14
    Senior Member BigJer's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by scroogemcduck View Post
    Your feels while playing the game don't mean anything. People find spurious patterns in randomness all the time. Write down some data and prove it with statistics.

    E.g., the probability of that a Ten is followed by another Ten should be 95/312 in a 6 deck shoe. If after 10 shoes the average is closer to 150/312, then something's up. Do a binomial probability test.

    Couple years ago I suspected a certain online casino was cheating me at blackjack by giving the dealer amazing hit cards. So I recorded every time the dealer busted, and every time the dealer hit with a potential of busting. I did that for like 500 hands at each bet level, before increasing my bet. The ratio came out correct. They weren't cheating that way.
    I second that. BTW, I had a little over a year of statistics in college and I can't believe how often some occurrence can happen that might seem so far out of the "norm" and it's still within some average probability range - or the like.

    Here's something I saw on YouTube a couple of weeks or so ago.
    My Ability in Blackjack is a Gift from God!!

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