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Thread: Average units per hand?

  1. #14


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    Quote Originally Posted by blueman View Post
    I should include that it's only double 9-11 and no double after split... Maybe this lowers 1.13 to, what, 1.07?
    No, not nearly that much. Soft doubles aren't all that frequent. And DAS isn't all that frequent because, well, splitting in general isn't that frequent.

    Don

  2. #15


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    Quote Originally Posted by blueman View Post
    I kind of need to figure this out to the 4th decimal, if anyone can help

    That web article says 8% for a hard 9 10 or 11 split and 2.55% for split pairs,

    But this would be for single deck no double after split, so 2.55% will be too high for these rules....

    Im guessing it's somewhere between 1.1000 and 1.1030 ?

    Lol, Don or anyone, can you figure this out? I don't know how to get those numbers..
    You have to sim it; you aren't going to do it empirically. You will split LESS in SD than in shoes.

    Don

  3. #16


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    Quote Originally Posted by DSchles View Post
    You have to sim it; you aren't going to do it empirically. You will split LESS in SD than in shoes.

    Don
    How can i sim it?

  4. #17


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    Quote Originally Posted by blueman View Post
    How can i sim it?
    Ask Norm how to generate total action for flat bets, according to your rules set, instead of average initial bet, which will be just the one unit ($100).

    Don

  5. #18


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    Give me your exact rules. I can sim it for you.

  6. #19


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    Quote Originally Posted by Gronbog View Post
    Give me your exact rules. I can sim it for you.
    6:5 single deck s17 d9-11 no double after split, split to 2 hands

  7. #20


    1 out of 1 members found this post helpful. Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No

    Arrow

    Here is some data from a 1 billion round simulation:

    Code:
    Spot 1
      Blackjack
        Bets Made:              1,000,000,000   Result:                $-77,131,047.00
        Min Original Bet:       $5              Max Original Bet:      $5
        Total Original Bets:    $5,000,000,000  Average Original Bet:  $5.0000
        Original Bet EV:        -0.015426       -1.5426%      $-0.0771
        Standard Error:          0.00003469      0.003469%    $ 0.000035
        Variance:                1.2035
        Standard Deviation:      1.0970         $5.4852
        Total Full Bets:        $5,506,898,275  Average Full Bet:      $5.5069
        Full Bet EV:            -0.014006       -1.4006%      $-0.0771
    The sim used a $5 flat bet so that the 6:5 blackjack could be handled as an integer. The Average Full Bet was $5.5069 or 1.10138 units.

    I hope you find the information useful.

  8. #21


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    Quote Originally Posted by Gronbog View Post
    Here is some data from a 1 billion round simulation:

    Code:
    Spot 1
      Blackjack
        Bets Made:              1,000,000,000   Result:                $-77,131,047.00
        Min Original Bet:       $5              Max Original Bet:      $5
        Total Original Bets:    $5,000,000,000  Average Original Bet:  $5.0000
        Original Bet EV:        -0.015426       -1.5426%      $-0.0771
        Standard Error:          0.00003469      0.003469%    $ 0.000035
        Variance:                1.2035
        Standard Deviation:      1.0970         $5.4852
        Total Full Bets:        $5,506,898,275  Average Full Bet:      $5.5069
        Full Bet EV:            -0.014006       -1.4006%      $-0.0771
    The sim used a $5 flat bet so that the 6:5 blackjack could be handled as an integer. The Average Full Bet was $5.5069 or 1.10138 units.

    I hope you find the information useful.
    Thank you

  9. #22


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    Quote Originally Posted by Gronbog View Post
    Here is some data from a 1 billion round simulation:

    Code:
    Spot 1
      Blackjack
        Bets Made:              1,000,000,000   Result:                $-77,131,047.00
        Min Original Bet:       $5              Max Original Bet:      $5
        Total Original Bets:    $5,000,000,000  Average Original Bet:  $5.0000
        Original Bet EV:        -0.015426       -1.5426%      $-0.0771
        Standard Error:          0.00003469      0.003469%    $ 0.000035
        Variance:                1.2035
        Standard Deviation:      1.0970         $5.4852
        Total Full Bets:        $5,506,898,275  Average Full Bet:      $5.5069
        Full Bet EV:            -0.014006       -1.4006%      $-0.0771
    The sim used a $5 flat bet so that the 6:5 blackjack could be handled as an integer. The Average Full Bet was $5.5069 or 1.10138 units.

    I hope you find the information useful.
    That poor guy lost 77 million :/

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