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Thread: Sharky's NFL play-o-the-weak 2017

  1. #79


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    How many here do super bowl prop bets? Are they generally found to be positive EV?

  2. #80
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    Quote Originally Posted by drunk View Post
    "no human being can say with certainty as to what the true
    odds are that the Eagles will win this game or cover the spread
    I heartily beg to differ.

    This human claims (subjective) certainty that

    the Eagles (and the points) is the way to go.

  3. #81


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    Tom Brady is the Greatest Living American.

    Mortgage the house. MONEYLINE Patriots

    Sent from my SM-G935R4 using Tapatalk

  4. #82
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    ZeroCool lost his coolness by suggesting that Brady is anything.
    He has some key receivers and Gronkowski, (if he gets to play.)
    With an average team, he'd be a good, not great, QuarterBack.


  5. #83
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    Had I gotten down early on, I'd have a truly great MIDDLE.

  6. #84


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    Quote Originally Posted by ZenMaster_Flash View Post

    ZeroCool lost his coolness by suggesting that Brady is anything.
    He has some key receivers and Gronkowski, (if he gets to play.)
    With an average team, he'd be a good, not great, QuarterBack.

    Hence my name, It is impossible to lose any more coolness..

    Brady makes average players great. His career stats are ridiculous. He wakes up in the morning and pisses excellence.

    Luckily Gronk can play. if not, Brady may lead the team to his 53rd career come from behind win while being down 28-3 to aquire his 6th superbowl ring at age 40.

    This wont be your last chance to hate. He will be back next year, eating avacado ice cream, banging his hot wife and winning the AFC Championship.

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  7. #85
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    Quote Originally Posted by ZenMaster_Flash View Post

    Had I gotten down early on, I'd have a truly great MIDDLE.
    If my Aunt had balls, she'd be my UNCLE!



    Obviously you've never spent much in a sportsbook. Standard reply to the coulda, woulda, shoulda nickel and dime bettors.

    Last edited by moses; 02-11-2018 at 10:37 AM.

  8. #86
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    moses
    ,

    As is often the case, your irrelevant post
    obscured the clear fact that many/most of
    those reading this thread are unaware of a
    lucrative A.P. move like an NFL 'Middle"


  9. #87
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    The Key to a good middle is simply how much of a spread you can find.
    With a small differential like 2 or 3 points, there is nothing to consider,
    but with 4 or more points I am looking to "middle" the game.

    The amateur has to understand that his sense of the likely winner, etc.
    is meaningless. He does not have to have ANY opinion on the outcome.

  10. #88
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    Listen to this NOW.

    http://slot-machine-resource.com/podcasts/sbowl2018.mp3

    The game's kick-off is in 6:24

    H U R R Y

  11. #89
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    Brady didn't look good on many plays. He looked great on the rest. I think he doesn't have what he used to. Eagles played a great all around game on both sides of the ball. Pats just couldn't stop Foles. 33 points wasn't near enough when your D rarely forces a punt. One punt the entire game. One turnover by each team. Ultimately Brady didn't see the pressure right in front of him. All he had to do was step up and the Pats would have gotten to see what they could do with the time left on the clock. Instead a strip sack turnover and eating of a lot of clock followed by a field goal to go up by 8. The final Hail Mary the extremely tall Grownowski jumps off the ground for the jump ball but all 3 different D-backs' black gloves are well above his white glove to knock the ball away. Both QB's took a short pass as a receiver. Brady dropped one he would expect his receivers to catch and Foles caught his for a TD. Those plays sum up how the Pats were outplayed at every position. Gone was thinking about retiring after the game. I assume Brady had planned to play another year or 2 when the Pats traded Garapolo to SF. Brady knows his perception of greatness was because he had Gronk, the best TE to ever play the game, to go to. If Gronk retires I assume Brady would consider it as well because he knows the difference between how he looks with and without Gronk. As QB lose their physical abilities the best field generals make up for it with their mind for the game. That means playing within your limitations and playing what you can still do effectively. Brady had the middle ball but not the deep ball. Wide open receivers deep had to stop and wait for the ball making the difference between an easy TD and just a huge gain. Brady was missing receivers in the middle that were open. The Pats traditionally just dink and dunk which I am sure Brady can still do. But when other things are called for to win a game Brady's abilities are waning. The Pats either need to build a team that can win with a fading skills field general like the Broncos did for Peyton (great D and ball control O) or Brady should retire or ride the pine to teach his successor.

  12. #90


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    Quote Originally Posted by Three View Post
    Brady didn't look good on many plays.
    Quote Originally Posted by Three View Post
    I think he doesn't have what he used to.
    Quote Originally Posted by Three View Post
    Eagles played a great all around game on both sides of the ball.
    What game were you watching?

    Quote Originally Posted by Three View Post
    Ultimately Brady didn't see the pressure right in front of him.
    I saw the pressure coming from the side and not the front on the turnover.

    Quote Originally Posted by Three View Post
    The final Hail Mary the extremely tall Grownowski jumps off the ground for the jump ball but all 3 different D-backs' black gloves are well above his white glove to knock the ball away.
    That is because he was mugged from behind with an arm holding his shoulder and neck down. Aside from all that the Pats deserved to lose the game their defense sucked. WHY the F was Butler sitting the bench?
    Last edited by BoSox; 02-05-2018 at 01:32 PM.

  13. #91
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    Quote Originally Posted by Three View Post
    Brady didn't look good on many plays. He looked great on the rest. I think he doesn't have what he used to.

    Yes he "only" threw for 500 yards, a Super Bowl record.


    Eagles played a great all around game on both sides of the ball.


    They gave up over 600 yards, and never forced a punt, a truly great defensive game!

    .
    ____

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