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Thread: True Count Betting Deviations

  1. #1
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    True Count Betting Deviations

    Using Standard HiLo System

    I Am a beginner to counting cards and have a couple questions regarding true count deviations. Are there any specific guidelines of what to bet according to true count? I have been reading alot about maxing out your bet at a true count of +4. Are there any guidelines to betting chip units on the true count? I guess what I'm asking is, should I be increasing my bets from table minimum to something like 4 chip units at a time because the true count is plus 2? For example I'm at a $5 table betting minmum the whole time until the true count reaches 2 or above. Then increasing my bet from $5 to lets say $20 on a true count of plus 2. Or should I be waiting until the true count is plus 4 and maxing my bet? I'm really not sure how to deviate my bets and would really appreciate some insight and knowledge from some experienced players.

    My Final question is, once I have a True Count of plus 4. Should I be playing 2 or more hands at a time? When is it the right time to play more hands according to the true count? Should I ever play more then 2 hands at a time? I have read playing 2 or more hands at a time decreases variance. Which makes sense to me because, by you playing 2 hands or even 3 hands at a time, its giving you more of a chance to catch the Bjs and faces instead of the dealer. Or am I wrong? Please help!
    Last edited by TeeFleek; 04-03-2017 at 02:38 AM.

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    Yes, you should bet bankroll * advantage * .7, or some percentage thereof (this is the upper bound but you might bet 50% or 25% of this amount if you do not care for the swings of betting bankroll * advantage * .7) . Your advantage at each true count can only be determined by simulation, as different rules will lead to different advantages at the same true counts. You might further decrease this number to ameliorate casino scrutiny.

    Heads up it doesn't really matter if you play 1 hand or 2. With plops at the table you should be playing two hands. Better to play heads up if that is a possibility.

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    Why is it better to play heads up? Heads up in a DD or in a 6 deck? Or both? Can you elaborate? Also from doing alot more research on blackjackinfo.com I completely understand bet spreading now. In terms of your bankroll and adjusting your spreads off a 1-12 accordingly to your bankroll. I did find some info on "Covariance" which pretty much explains playing 2 or more hands when the odds are in your favor. But if anyone else has some more tips and guidelines to follow/try I would really appreciate it.

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    I'll get easily 3x as many hands heads up as I will at a full table. Probably more. This means I make 3x as much money per hour. Would you rather make X$ / hr or X$ * 3 per hour?

    Double deck or six deck heads up is better but I would say the phenomenon is more pronounced at multi deck because dealers can deal that quicker.

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    Why is it better to play heads up? Heads up in a DD or in a 6 deck? Or both? Can you elaborate? Also from doing alot more research on blackjackinfo.com I completely understand bet spreading now. In terms of your bankroll and adjusting your spreads off a 1-12 accordingly to your bankroll. I did find some info on "Covariance" which pretty much explains playing 2 or more hands when the odds are in your favor. But if anyone else has some more tips and guidelines to follow/try I would really appreciate it.

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    I see what you're saying. Your making more money an hour.

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    The mathematics involved always resolves to playing one hand when "heads-up"

    The more important issue references "longevity." Your chances of being permitted

    to continue to play BJ will be radically reduced if you attempt to change the number

    of hands that you are playing during the shoe in question. It is trivially simple for the

    E.I.T.S. to confirm that your switching between one and two hands correlates almost

    perfectly with the True Count. This is valuable advice. Understand it. Absorb it.

    What you need to do is this:

    Begin with two (2) hands and play that way until the count 'tanks'

    and then play one (1) hand until the shuffle. Ergo, when the T C remains 'positive' you sometimes can continue to benefit. Learn to wager 75% of your optimal bet on each of the two spots, to capture the power of this ploy to gain the inherent advantage of betting a greater sum on more spots.

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