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Thread: Dealer hits all soft hands

  1. #14


    1 out of 1 members found this post helpful. Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    USE AT YOUR OWN RISK

    Didn't see this thread before. I tweaked Markowitz's bj index generator code, then ran it for HiLo. We can extract BS changes from the indices. The results seem plausible.

    hard 14-16 v. A = Stand
    soft 18 v. A = Stand
    hard 10,11 v. A = Double
    hard 9 v. 2 = Double
    soft 19 v. 6 = Double
    soft 17,18 v. 2 = Double
    soft 16 v. 3 = Double
    soft 14 v. 4 = Double
    7,7 v. 8,A = Split
    3,3 v. 8 = Split
    2,2 v. 8 = Split

    I tweaked ET Fan's PowerSim. This was a harder hack through unfamiliar old-style code. I did my best to review flow as I went along, but caveat non-emptor. If it's truly critical to some awesome ongoing situation, I can spend some more time over the next few days debugging (T-day and a gambling trip notwithstanding). But the numbers seem reasonable:

    6 decks, 308 cut off, H21, flat bet, 70 million rounds

    Standard BS: win rate 5.4%, variance 1.34
    H21 BS: win rate 5.7%, variance 1.39

    UPDATE: I thought the dealer couldn't get a blackjack. Sim win rate overrated. I'll redo if I have time tonight.
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    Last edited by First Normal Form; 11-15-2012 at 04:54 PM. Reason: reading comprehension

  2. #15


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    That, Mr. First Normal Form, is outstanding work!

  3. #16


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    Thanks! And now for the EV for your actual game!

    Standard BS: 1.92%, Variance: 1.34
    H21 BS: 2.26%, 1.38

  4. #17


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    Quote Originally Posted by First Normal Form View Post
    Thanks! And now for the EV for your actual game!

    Standard BS: 1.92%, Variance: 1.34
    H21 BS: 2.26%, 1.38
    Ok. That' about what I was guessing.

  5. #18
    Senior Member Frostbyte's Avatar
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    So you'd be plunking down bets off the top equivalent to what you'd normally bet at HiLo TC+4? That's a lot of action.
    "Wait a minute. How do you beat someone to death with their own skull? That doesn't seem physically possible." "That's what Jimmy kept screaming: 'This doesn't seem physically possible!'"

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