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Thread: strategy simulation result required, I will pay for the trouble

  1. #14


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    Quote Originally Posted by Tthree View Post
    The way to beat it would involve going min to max at tiny edges and you would basically be at the mercy of variance.
    One thing that I have found out through experience is that, with lower penetration the variance in bankroll also decreases. this is probably because there are less big bets made in a shoe.
    As I said, I am a half-smart casual player and do not look at BJ as a source for income. I know I would not be a good poker player so I chose BJ as a fun game with a narrow edge. But I can see that most guys here are hardcore advantage players and mentioning 50% penetration is kind of even insulting to them!
    That's fine with me and I respect that. I just didn't found any other place to look for help and came here only because Ken advised it..

  2. #15
    Senior Member Bodarc's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ali D View Post
    I am not really in it for money, I just want to know that I gamble and have fun with a tiny edge in my favor.
    Ali D send me your info and I will see if I can run the simulation for you. No pay necessary. Bodarc100 at yahoo dot com
    Play within your bankroll, pick your games with care and learn everything you can about the game. The winning will come. It has to. It's in the cards. -- Bryce Carlson

  3. #16
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ali D View Post
    One thing that I have found out through experience is that, with lower penetration the variance in bankroll also decreases. this is probably because there are less big bets made in a shoe.
    That is what I was suggesting changing. Making big bets in the small advantage range you see which would give crazy variance. You would make big bets with a much smaller advantage. You would need a huge BR to handle the swings involved.

  4. #17
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ali D View Post
    One thing that I have found out through experience is that, with lower penetration the variance in bankroll also decreases. this is probably because there are less big bets made in a shoe.
    That is what I was suggesting changing. Making big bets in the small advantage range you see which would give crazy variance. You would make big bets with a much smaller advantage. You would need a huge BR to handle the swings involved. Without the huge BR it would just be a matter of time before you busted your BR.

  5. #18


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    Quote Originally Posted by Bodarc View Post
    Ali D send me your info and I will see if I can run the simulation for you. No pay necessary. Bodarc100 at yahoo dot com
    Thank you Bodrac for your generosity, I have already sent you the email... looking forward to hear from you )

  6. #19


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    Quote Originally Posted by Tthree View Post
    That is what I was suggesting changing. Making big bets in the small advantage range you see which would give crazy variance. You would make big bets with a much smaller advantage. You would need a huge BR to handle the swings involved. Without the huge BR it would just be a matter of time before you busted your BR.
    and even better than that is to use different betting plan for different deck penetration. K-O usually gives the signals later than other systems so this solves the problem mostly.

  7. #20
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    K.O. is a decidedly weak count.

    You want to be hurling small pebbles at big armored vehicles.

    Best of Luck.


    Aces and Faces to ya'.

  8. #21


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    K-O used alone, gives the right signals a little late and this has been documented.
    but then came the book, "the color of blackjack" by Daniel Dravot and that fixed this problem.
    I have played many hours of simulated BJ in casino verite with monitoring Hi-lo true count at the background but using advanced K-O strategy. I can strongly say that they are almost identical and give the signals at the same time.
    This makes hi-lo not worth the time to master. Actually simulations of millions prove this point and they could be easily found at Modern Blackjack Vol 1 by Norm

    Quote Originally Posted by ZenMaster_Flash View Post

    K.O. is a decidedly weak count.

    You want to be hurling small pebbles at big armored vehicles.

    Best of Luck.


    Aces and Faces to ya'.

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