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Thread: How likely is it to lose with a SCORE great or equal to 200 in 4 hours of play?

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    How likely is it to lose with a SCORE great or equal to 200 in 4 hours of play?

    Playing a double deck game with the rules H17,DAS,RSA using Wongin and play until the shuffle with a penetration of 75% cut off the SCORE exceeds like over 200 playing two hands. How likely it is a card counter will lose in a 4 hours of play?

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    Very very likely

    Over 200 hours, much less likely

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    Quote Originally Posted by seriousplayer View Post
    Playing a double deck game with the rules H17,DAS,RSA using Wongin and play until the shuffle with a penetration of 75% cut off the SCORE exceeds like over 200 playing two hands. How likely it is a card counter will lose in a 4 hours of play?
    serious player,

    Put down that Crack Pipe !

    You have to re-name yourself,

    This is NOT a particularly high SCORE game.

    Besides, where can you find a DD game with MSE ?

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    He said he is "wonging" in so the SCORE can be that high.

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    Probably like 40+%
    The Cash Cow.

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    Quote Originally Posted by ZenMaster_Flash View Post
    serious player,

    Put down that Crack Pipe !

    You have to re-name yourself,

    This is NOT a particularly high SCORE game.

    Besides, where can you find a DD game with MSE ?
    Some Stations Casinos in Las Vegas is allowing Mid-shoe entry to 4 x Min and sometime allow to spread to 2 hands. Forgot to mention I simulate the game with six players and me playing two hands.
    Last edited by seriousplayer; 08-25-2015 at 11:07 AM.

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    4 hours back counting may have you playing very little. I have no clue how to answer your question but you need to get a certain number of hands played to get any kind of certainty for your results. I would think the lack of actual played hands in 4 hours would make losing quite likely. Listen to Moo. I would have guessed around there but I stress it would be a edumicated guess. That day I road the short bus to school.

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    Let's make your SCORE $200 per hour and your hourly s.d. $2,000, which can't be too far from reality. Then, in four hours, you expect to win $800, but with sqrt(4) x $2,000 = 2 x $2,000 = $4,000 s.d. So, to be losing after those four hours is to have had worse than a 0.2 s.d. event, which happens with 42% probability; in other words, all the time!!

    Don

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    Senior Member Jabberwocky's Avatar
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    in one's dreams? NOT!

    Quote Originally Posted by zenmaster_flash View Post
    serious player,

    put down that crack pipe !

    You have to re-name yourself,

    this is not a particularly high score game.

    Besides, where can you find a dd game with mse ?

    bump!

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    Much Thanx to Don Schlesinger for a perfectly clear and concise response.

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    I've played many hours on a DD which I wong into and spread 1-20.
    Maman died today. Or yesterday maybe, I don't know.

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    Quote Originally Posted by muckz View Post
    I've played many hours on a DD which I wong into and spread 1-20.
    Me too
    The Cash Cow.

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    20-1 playing red -- spread may "fly"
    unless you "camp out" - - becoming
    what surveillance calls a "tombstone"
    20-1 requires a $100 MAX bet.
    I suggest 18-1 $5 to $90 to avoid
    "checks play" that the dealer may
    call out (without green / black chip)

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