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Thread: Probability Question

  1. 10-11-2014, 11:33 AM #1
    melfwoods
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    Probability Question

    I don't know how to use this website, but I have a question. What are the odds of drawing 8 aces in a row from a six deck shoe? How to calculate?
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  2. 10-11-2014, 12:41 PM #2
    muckz
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    24/312 * 23/311 * 22/310 * ...

    [24/312] Probability of drawing an ace
    [24/312 * 23/311] Probability of drawing an ace then another ace, two aces in a row.

    0.0000000003615
    Maman died today. Or yesterday maybe, I don't know.
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  3. 10-11-2014, 12:54 PM #3
    melfwoods
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    Quote Originally Posted by muckz View Post
    24/312 * 23/311 * 22/310 * ...

    [24/312] Probability of drawing an ace
    [24/312 * 23/311] Probability of drawing an ace then another ace, two aces in a row.

    0.0000000003615
    Thank you. Same answer I got. Now tell me what it means. is it 3.6 in 10 billion or 3.6 in 1 billion? Thanks for your help.
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  4. 10-11-2014, 03:44 PM #4
    DSchles
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    3.615 in 10 billion, which is one in 2.76 billion.

    Don
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  5. 10-13-2014, 06:17 AM #5
    Dieter
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    Quote Originally Posted by melfwoods View Post
    Same answer I got. Now tell me what it means.
    Don't forget that's assuming you start with 6 full decks. If you're asking about midway through, you'd need to know how many cards are left in the deck and how many aces have already come out.

    If 17 aces have already come out, your chances of the next 8 cards to come out being aces are exactly 0.
    May the cards fall in your favor.
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