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Thread: How to calculate EV

  1. #1


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    How to calculate EV

    How can I compare the EV of playing a 0.17% off the top game at TC +1, +2, +3, and +4? How do index plays come into the equation? I'm looking into an aggressive wonging strategy, playing only when the count >= +1. How much do different counting systems change EV? Specifically comparing REKO and Zen.

    I assume Zen will be much stronger due to better index plays.

  2. #2
    Senior Member bigplayer's Avatar
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    Run a simulation. For every level of penetration the frequency of each True Count will be different and thus your EV will be different. Zen will win somewhere between 5% and 15% faster than REKO depending on the game.

  3. #3
    Senior Member Gramazeka's Avatar
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    CV Data or SBA.
    "Don't Cast Your Pearls Before Swine" (Jesus)

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