3 out of 3 members found this post helpful.
Did you find this post helpful?
Yes |
No
Dealer Upcard Probability, Bust Rate, and Bust Frequency vs. HiLo TC
Folks,
Below are three figures derived from three two-billion-round CVData sims for a 6D, H17, 75% pen game.
The first figure, "Upcard Rate", shows the probability for each rank to be the dealer's upcard. Note that the "X" has a separate scale on the right of the figure. No surprises here: as the TC rises, the "Smalls" probability falls, the "Neutrals" probability changes very little, and the "Large" probability increases.
The second figure, "Dealer Bust Rate for All Upcards", shows the probability of a dealer bust given the indicated upcard. If you're having trouble reading the legend, at TC=0 the lines, from the top down, are for 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 7, 8, 9, X, and A. This information might be helpful if you're playing some of the new sidebets like "Dealer Bust 21" (see http://wizardofodds.com/games/blackj.../8/#dealerbust).
The third figure, "Dealer Bust Frequency for All Upcards", shows the probability that the dealer will get the indicated upcard and then bust. Here at TC=0, from the top down, the lines are for X, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 7, 8, 9, and A. The X dominates, due to the plurality of X's compared to the other upcards.
Hope this information is useful!
Dog Hand
Upcard Rate.jpgDealer Bust Rate for All Upcards.jpgDealer Bust Frequency for All Upcards.jpg
Reply With Quote
Originally Posted by ZeeBabar
Bookmarks