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Thread: 2% advantage play?

  1. #1
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    2% advantage play?

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    Last edited by moses; 10-05-2017 at 02:08 PM.

  2. #2
    Senior Member bigplayer's Avatar
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    No, this means you will win back 102% of your initial wager over the long haul by a combination of your regular bet, doubling down, splitting, and catching a natural getting paid 3:2. Usually you do not win a majority of your bets in blackjack regardless of your edge (well maybe in a situation where you know both dealer cards you might).
    Last edited by bigplayer; 09-23-2013 at 09:05 AM.

  3. #3
    Senior Member DBJT's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bigplayer View Post
    (well maybe in a situation where you know both dealer cards you might).
    Sadly... nope.

    Norm's done the work on this: even in hole-carding situations you STILL don't win the majority (i.e. more than 50%) of hands played.

    http://www.blackjacktheforum.com/ent...n-Hole-Carding

    BUT the main POINT is still in the conclusion written there: "What we see is that the hole-carder wins more hands, but still does not hit 50%, even at a Hi-Lo count of +10. An enormous advantage can be realized without winning half of the hands."

    This is something I think all new card-counters always have trouble fully absorbing, until after they've actually played a lot.

    We just LOSE a LOT.

    We just lose and lose and lose SO many f*ckin' hands, even in "good situations" with "so nice" HIGH PLUS COUNTS?

    Lose and lose and lose.

    But we will still WIN MONEY overall, in the end

    -DBJT

    P.S. I think understanding this concept also goes a very long way to helping people understand many other things about the game, such as why 6:5 blackjack is SO BAD, i.e. we really NEED that "little" extra bonus on blackjacks to make everything else work!!!
    Last edited by DBJT; 09-23-2013 at 09:40 AM. Reason: Added "P.S."

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