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Thread: ken: kelly fractional betting

  1. #1
    ken
    Guest

    ken: kelly fractional betting

    I'm still struggling with Kelly fractional betting.

    For a given game at full Kelly the SCORE is 50.

    If I'm betting 75% Kelly, my ROR is 6.9% and my growth rate is
    94%,based on DS formulas from the Parker pages.

    Is my SCORE now:
    50*75%*94%=35.25 ,or
    50*94%=47 ,or
    Am I completely off base?

    Thank you

  2. #2
    Don Schlesinger
    Guest

    Don Schlesinger: Re: kelly fractional betting

    > I'm still struggling with Kelly fractional betting.

    > For a given game at full Kelly the SCORE is 50.

    > If I'm betting 75% Kelly, my ROR is 6.9% and my growth
    > rate is
    > 94%,based on DS formulas from the Parker pages.

    > Is my SCORE now:
    > 50*75%*94%=35.25 ,or
    > 50*94%=47 ,or
    > Am I completely off base?

    > Thank you

    You're completely off base. SCORE requires that you bet Kelly, otherwise it isn't a SCORE anymore. Hourly win rate is a different matter. If you bet 75% of Kelly, and you don't resize your wagers at any time, you will win 75% of what your full-Kelly win rate was.

    Your ROR doesn't matter, because you aren't using it to size your bets; you're betting 75%, period.

    Don

  3. #3
    ken
    Guest

    ken: Re: kelly fractional betting

    > You're completely off base. SCORE requires that you
    > bet Kelly, otherwise it isn't a SCORE anymore. Hourly
    > win rate is a different matter. If you bet 75% of
    > Kelly, and you don't resize your wagers at any time,
    > you will win 75% of what your full-Kelly win rate was.

    > Your ROR doesn't matter, because you aren't using it
    > to size your bets; you're betting 75%, period.

    > Don
    Don,
    I,m taking 75% of the betting schedule from table 10,while
    keeping the same 10k bankroll.My ROR should be 6.9%.Am I
    correct? Thanks

  4. #4
    Don Schlesinger
    Guest

    Don Schlesinger: Re: kelly fractional betting

    > I'm taking 75% of the betting schedule from table
    > 10, while keeping the same 10k bankroll. My ROR should be 6.9%.

    >Am I correct?

    Yes.

    Don

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