Studies

1. Advantage per Running Count, Unbalanced Strategy

by , 04-25-2012 at 04:48 AM (Modern Blackjack nth Edition)
We have seen charts showing the advantage a player has by section of the shoe for each True Count when discussing Floating Advantage. But, what about unbalanced counts?

I created a chart showing the advantage by running count using REKO-F for the first deck in the shoe through the fifth deck in the shoe. In the earlier sections of the shoe, high counts are not possible as the initial running count is negative. This chart is provide with no editorialization.

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Updated 06-16-2019 at 04:01 AM by Norm

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2. Player Bust Rates

by , 04-25-2012 at 04:47 AM (Modern Blackjack nth Edition)
Look around the web, and you will find dozens of sites that talk about dealer bust rates. Which is odd since it is a near useless statistic (not counting odd bonuses and side bets). What you do not see are discussions of player bust rates. Also generally useless. However, as it can be useful in the discussion of bonuses, I put together a chart:

This chart is only for six decks, H17, DAS, dealer peeks with ten or ace, basic strategy,
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3. Martingale as Cover

by , 04-25-2012 at 04:47 AM (Modern Blackjack nth Edition)
Over the years, many have tried to resurrect Martingale betting (doubling the bet when you lose a hand). As we all know, Martingale betting fails, in Blackjack or in any endeavor involving betting. So, what if we use Martingale betting as cover? That is, we use Martingale at times when counting cards to try to look like a poor player, in an attempt to assuage the fears of the casino. The ideas vary, but usually involve either using a Martingale when the count is negative and correct betting when
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4. Won Hands when Hole-Carding

by , 04-25-2012 at 04:46 AM (Modern Blackjack nth Edition)
On card counting forums, the question is often asked “At what count do you win the majority of hands?” The long-known answer is at no count. Even at high counts, you win fewer than half of the hands. You make money because of Blackjacks, doubles, splits, insurance, and betting.

But, what about hole-card play? With hole-carding, you get a peek at the dealer’s downcard. Surely, you will win far more hands as you have such important information. And it is well-known that the advantages
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5. Advantage by count when first card is known, 6:5 BJ

by , 04-25-2012 at 04:37 AM (Modern Blackjack nth Edition)
On page 464 in Modern Blackjack, I provide a chart of the advantages by card and by count if you know the first card. For example, if you know your first card is an ace, your advantage is about 51%. A staggering number. But, what if you are playing Blackjack pay 6:5?

The below chart is single-deck Blackjack, H17, nDAS, one player, four rounds, card counting with HiLo. The advantage for counts -10 to +10. Lower numbers, but still huge advantages.

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