Apologies, Don. After not hearing from Bryce for a bit, I stopped checking my non-primary email account until recently. I'm happy to report he has replied! And I have replied to him.
Thanks...
Heck, when is this snow going to stop. Since the beginning of January it has snowed every day except for 4 days. In the last week alone we have received almost 4 feet of snow, and with 222 inches for...
If I gain further information, I will change my probability estimates. I already assign a very high probability that the data are correct. I will still never get remotely close to 100% based on how I...
So, what's the next step? When he tells us his information is 100% reliable, are you going to dazzle us with Bayes' Theorem to analyze what the probability is that someone who tells you his...
I have no idea whether the data cited in this case is good or has omissions. C_AUREO21 has not said how much confidence he has in his data.
I also find that a large fraction of gamblers feel they...
"Short-term effect" doesn't mean anything, mathematically. If your numbers are accurate then what I'm telling you is that the game is rigged.
What is it that you think I just did??
Don
You're just pulling this number out of thin air, right? You have no way to justify your assertion, do you? Why do you think there's no strong incentive to know if you're being cheated or not? I...
so based on your analysis
there is no possibility of a short-term effect of the number of BLACKJACKS.
maybe someone can help with the statistics.
of average BLACKJACKS hands for TC >=3.5 IN A...
Not so quick! Bayesian probability leans towards the data not being correct. That is, the person is not faithfully recording all BJs in the sequence.
If 900 out of 1000 of people do not...
OK, let's do a little math. Consider an event with probability p of success, 1-p = q of failure, and n number of hands dealt. Then the mean for such an event is np and the standard deviation is...
This used to be common knowledge but it may not be any more so I'll spell it out: if you play at the same table as another counter your bet patterns will be strongly correlated or identical. That...
yes regarding the number or percentages of blackjacks
of this game I am telling you about
I have the following information
for TC>= 3.5 THE PERCENTAGE OF BLACKJACKS IN the simulator is...
Interesting what you say Norm of course surely at the beginning of online casinos there must have been little control of RNG systems.
I tell you something there is an online game called NON...
To a point I can understand the slash and burn approach in a place like Vegas especially if you avoid Caesars and MGM properties and you don't live there. They're so sweaty anyway and you can...
Depends on how close. I've never calced standard error for those stats. I've only once noticed an online casino with an obviously out of whack percentage of blackjacks in nearly every shoe. They used...
