Did it ever occur to you that, if you think you're OK with 57 K-O indices (which you are), why would you need 100 more for the UAPC? What stops you from playing UAPC with, say, 50 indices, especially...
When I do sims with UBZ2 to find the optimal bet ramps (maximizing DI²) for each deck in the shoe, then do a sim using those ramps depending on the deck, SD goes up faster than EV and the overall DI²...
I am retired from business but still an occasional green chip recreational player. Based on a conversation between Richard Munchkin & Anthony Curtis in a YouTube clip, I’ve switched from Uston APC to...
Ok that makes sense, splitting 8's gives us a higher chance of getting to 11 and then doubling down.
So what I posted was only the EV from the first hand tracked to it's conclusion, not the...
So, technically correct as +4 is the EV-maximizing index. But as Don pointed out, it's worth very little. When we ranked this play at +4 for our benchmark ENHC game (4.5/6 S17 DAS ENHC - Play-All...
Hi Don :)
Thanks for helping out. I think I’ve got it now. When holding 11 vs T, I go from hit to D.D. at +4, and 88 vs 10 hits up to 0+ and stands from there.
By the way, also thank you for...
We don't disagree. Since you clarified that you are using the traditional house edge, then your EV is -0.1111 * number of initial bets * bet size. Don and I agree.
You said you were playing...
So one of you says one way and the other says another way lol
They don't advertise the house edge I just input the rules into this calculator and it tells me "player expected value -0.1111%"
...
The EV of 26 versus 7 is 8.393876580%.
The EV of two hands starting with a single 8 has to be more than 2x the EV of a hand starting with a hard total of 8. If you catch a 3 to a split 8, you can...
Just focusing on this, Stand is exactly in agreement. Hit is slightly better than the -40.842264556% I get. Double is exactly twice Hit, which would be good if Hit was correct.
Are you just taking...
I didn't see this earlier.
Fair points, I'll try adding some more detail.
I'm running thousand of shoes according to basic strategy, with customizable deck penetration and rule settings. The...
In my experience, online casinos in the US will provide a return-to-player percentage for all table games. This will differ from the EV that you get from an online calculator or BJ reference. The RTP...
So I tracked the EV of all splits vs dealer up cards in my sim across 4 - 5M hands. It's not really enough but I'm still debugging but I don't want to optimize it for speed just yet (removing strings...
You have not described your simulator in any detail. When I hear the word 'simulator' I just assume you are playing out hands from a well-shuffled shoe using a simple fixed strategy. That would imply...
It's common knowledge that MGM destroys everything they've acquired. Just look what they did to the Wynn properties they bought in Vegas (Mirage, Bellagio, TI). If they did not have so many beatable...
If you're getting the 0.1% house edge from any online calculators or from books, then they're almost certainly expressing it in terms of original bet. So, go with $10,000.
Don
If I want to figure out how much I should be down on an internet blackjack game after 1 million hands at $10 per hand with a house edge of 0.1% with the average number of units wagered per hand at...
I'm starting to work on calculating the EV for splits as I think that's probably the most likely spot for errors in the code.
In order to calculate the EV for the splits, I would want to track the...
