Player 1 will win more against SD and DD but will get pummelled against 4,6,& 8D games. The microscopic point of your delusion lies 8n the percentage played full hi opt vs crippled hi opt.
Don is...
This discussion is going to endless loops of circular arguments. It seems to me you are going to cite True Count Theorem, but I dismissed it long ago.
I haven’t seen a single deck game for...
Pardon me Don, I mean no disrespect, but I still think you miss my main point:
Over the course of his counting career, player one uses what we'll call the "crippled HO2 system" ie. he plays HO2...
I don't know what you're referring to when you say that several others were making mistakes in this area. The only difference we have is the number of indices used. I used the top 22, and the...
The differences are probably due to how you're calculating the TC. Not only should the indices be floored, but dividing the RC by the remaining decks also has its nuances. For example: How do you...
Yes the general principle you allude to is true at very least in theory. At the quarter-deck level you can get quite an accurate prediction of each actual card.
Worth adding there is a synergy...
Ok, currently running a 20 billion round sim to see if it gets better. Do you happen to remember the threshold for certainty you used before making the risk-averse choice? And was your simulation...
I simulated 200 billion rounds for each rule set we generated indices for. Dr Stewart Ethier provided us with a methodology for estimating certainty when it came to extremely close decisions. For the...
You have to look at the long game which you are clearly not doing. Play decisions in a single deck game can easily very card by card having the benefit of being to able to view more cards as anchor...
But there is a disadvantage at 3rd base too. The count when you place your bet is off from the real count number when you receive your cards. Do you agree?
third base as anchor position in a single dick game is valuable as you get to see more cards prior to making a play decision.
Or as a heads up player catching the burn card is also extremely...
You keep saying that 3rd base is several times more advantageous than 1st. This is extremely hard to believe. I don’t simulate myself. Just looking at the picture you posted above. Where is the...
Thanks, that's good to know. I'm flooring too, and the errors are both positive and negative. I suspect it is just a precision issue since the EV difference for all of the erroneous indices is...
I ran a sim using only Illustrious 18 indexes, and the player sitting at first base out of 4 players. Got pretty similar results:
I don't know if you did this, but it appears several...
Probably the use of full indexes and later seat position. The same count is more valuable if you also get more information by seeing other people's hit cards before making your playing decisions.
